Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1.961443 2.234276 2.530752 2.876782 3.269531 3.701441 4.212465
2025-10-12 1.532388 1.903367 2.341618 2.897295 3.583044 4.401681 5.453569
2025-10-19 1.331096 1.754879 2.285108 2.996785 3.926920 5.101477 6.698306
2025-10-26 1.146472 1.587672 2.166465 2.980620 4.096135 5.571335 7.672010
2025-11-02 1.008705 1.457997 2.072189 2.972089 4.256687 6.024885 8.645988
2025-11-09 0.884063 1.328038 1.957862 2.915111 4.332814 6.355581 9.464013
2025-11-16 0.806680 1.255165 1.913245 2.947418 4.531268 6.866156 10.573728
2025-11-23 0.742430 1.193512 1.876464 2.983479 4.732362 7.389691 11.739104
2025-11-30 0.676301 1.121076 1.814591 2.971908 4.854323 7.796814 12.751758
2025-12-07 0.610414 1.041710 1.733218 2.919411 4.902735 8.087202 13.595562
2025-12-14 0.550845 0.966440 1.650684 2.855577 4.923669 8.329893 14.374016
2025-12-21 0.501501 0.903432 1.582142 2.807538 4.964037 8.603092 15.219098
2025-12-28 0.492006 0.912444 1.642419 2.997039 5.447206 9.693271 17.621100
2026-01-04 0.454978 0.869051 1.608564 3.019660 5.643975 10.316154 19.278167
2026-01-11 0.433884 0.852263 1.619707 3.123238 5.994001 11.236893 21.553315
2026-01-18 0.398813 0.804960 1.569566 3.106403 6.116648 11.751878 23.117817
2026-01-25 0.368565 0.763660 1.526311 3.097516 6.251666 12.298409 24.787790
2026-02-01 0.335753 0.713635 1.461023 3.038160 6.280718 12.642120 26.088091
2026-02-08 0.316248 0.688821 1.443104 3.071815 6.497894 13.369575 28.218491
2026-02-15 0.298850 0.666564 1.428047 3.109381 6.725443 14.135137 30.492777
2026-02-22 0.278330 0.635389 1.391359 3.097327 6.846751 14.692121 32.377171
2026-03-01 0.255981 0.597831 1.337473 3.042640 6.870665 15.046127 33.855749
2026-03-08 0.234764 0.560633 1.280811 2.976141 6.861793 15.327831 35.198446